Australian 5% Deposit Scheme: Casual Workers Left Behind in Home Buying Boom (2025)

The Australian government's 5% Deposit Scheme has been in effect for a month, but not everyone is feeling the benefits. This story sheds light on the challenges faced by potential homebuyers, especially those who are employed casually and struggling to secure financing.

The Dream of Homeownership: A Challenging Journey

Meet Peter Njoroge, a 46-year-old father of three, who, despite a comfortable household income of $170,000, feels left behind in the race to own a home. With a well-paid job in disability care and his wife's earnings from childcare, they should be prime candidates for the government's scheme. But here's where it gets controversial: their casual employment status has become a roadblock.

Mr. Njoroge and his wife, both essential workers, have faced knockback after knockback from banks. "They always ask us, 'Can one of you be permanent?'" he said. This requirement, which affects one in five working Australians, has left them feeling demoralized and anxious about missing out while others get a head start.

The Promise of Help to Buy

The federal government's promise to assist hardworking Australians like Mr. Njoroge into homeownership through expanded programs seems to have fallen short. While the 5% deposit scheme offers unlimited places and higher price caps, it hasn't addressed the underlying issue of casual employment and its impact on financing.

Mr. Njoroge hopes the government's Help to Buy scheme, where the Commonwealth purchases a significant portion of a home, will provide his family with a better chance. However, with only 10,000 places available and no clear start date, the competition is fierce.

A Nervous Nation

Mr. Njoroge is not alone in his concerns. Many Australians are feeling nervous about the growing competition and rising prices in once-affordable areas. The expanded scheme has accelerated loan demand, with banks and mortgage brokers reporting surging applications. But the real question is: who will benefit the most from this initiative?

The Impact on Home Prices

While analysts warn of a lag in data, early figures suggest the fastest home value growth in two years. This growth is attributed to first homebuyer incentives, supply shortages, and previous interest rate cuts. However, growing inflation has dampened hopes of further rate cuts, leaving potential buyers in a state of uncertainty.

Treasury modelling suggests a modest 0.5% increase in prices over six years due to the deposit scheme. But other estimates predict a more significant impact, with increases of 3 to 15% over the same period. So, who are the real winners in this scenario?

According to housing researcher Chris Martin, existing property owners stand to gain the most from continuing price increases. "Property insiders are benefiting from the increased purchasing power of other housing consumers," he said. This trend has been a long-term story, with insiders reaping the rewards of a system that favors those already in the market.

A Familiar Story

Leith Golding, a 58-year-old father of two from Melbourne's outer east, shares a similar experience. Despite a six-figure salary and eligibility for the 5% scheme, buying an appropriately sized property in his area feels out of reach. He believes that homebuyer schemes often create a cycle of temporary relief followed by increased prices, leaving many potential buyers in a perpetual state of catch-up.

"The race to ownership is unsustainable in the long term," Golding said. He hopes that the housing conversation will expand to include issues like longer leases and better conditions for renters, providing a more sustainable and less anxious path to homeownership.

So, what's your take on this? Is the government's scheme a step in the right direction, or does it merely perpetuate a broken system? Share your thoughts in the comments and let's spark a discussion on the future of housing in Australia.

Australian 5% Deposit Scheme: Casual Workers Left Behind in Home Buying Boom (2025)

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